基于多层递阶和回归分析的单一水位流量关系曲线高水延长方法     

程银才  范世香 《水文》2011,(4):55-57

测站的水位流量关系由于受到多种因素的影响,没有固定的曲线线型,使得水位流量关系曲线的延长变得较为困难。多层递阶方法将预测系统视为动态系统,具有跟踪系统时变参数的特性,但没能考虑高相关影响因子的重要性。回归分析考虑到了高相关影响因子的重要性,但由于采用定常参数建模,不能反映动态系统时变参数的特性。将多层递阶方法和回归分析方法结合起来,用于单一水位流量关系曲线的高水延长。方法克服了传统的单一水位流量关系曲线高水延长时线型的需要选择、精度难以控制、效率低和不易程序化等缺点,为单一水位流量关系曲线的高水延长提供了一种新途径。  相似文献   

再谈黎平敖市金刚石异常——贵州省当前最佳金刚石找矿靶区分析     

盛学庸 《贵州地质》2011,28(1):2-8

诸多迹象表明,敖市金刚石异常为一浓集异常,且叠加在一辉石重砂异常之上,显示出强烈的近源补给特征,其补给源极有可能是具工业价值的金刚石原生矿.鉴于湘黔金刚石成矿区内已知的含金刚石钾镁煌斑岩及其相关岩体的同位素年龄值均在375～475 Ma范围,其成矿期显然属加里东晚期,而紧邻敖市异常尚有后加里东盖层残留,作为幔源火山作用...  相似文献   

城市近地层湍流特征分析   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

邹钧  孙鉴泞  刘罡 《气象科学》2011,31(4):525-533

利用中国科学院大气物理研究所在北京的325 m铁塔观测资料,本文分析了47、140和280 m三个高度的湍流统计特征.结果表明,城市近地层的湍流速度方差和湍流温度方差都较好地满足局地相似关系,140 m和280 m的湍流特征非常接近,而47 m的湍流特征与之相比表现出明显的差异,说明由于城市冠层动力和热力非均匀性的影响...  相似文献   

长江三角洲夏季持续性高温预报方法的研究     

李扬  郭品文 《气象研究与应用》2011,32(2):5-9,115,116

采用1999～2008年逐日最高气温观测资料和NCEP逐日再分析资料,统计分析了长江三角洲地区近10a夏季温度的低频周期,揭示了对该地区夏季温度变化产生影响的区域和特征。研究表明,该地区夏季温度的低频周期为10-30d。通过相关分析在42．50～47．5°N、82．5°～90°E,42．5°～47．5°N、80°～90...  相似文献   

气枪激发信号传播的谱元法数值模拟研究          下载免费PDF全文

唐杰 《地球物理学报》2011,54(9):2348-2356

为了研究气枪激发信号的波场,本文利用谱元法对双相介质中波的传播做了数值模拟,分析了波的传播特征.本文主要做了以下工作:(1)研究了使用谱无法(SEM)模拟孔隙弹性介质中波的传播,模拟结果表明,采用谱元法能有效解决双相介质的波场传播模拟问题.(2)验证了Biot理论中慢纵波的存在.双相介质中存在明显的慢纵波,流相波场的慢...  相似文献   

Artificial neural network forward modelling and inversion of electrokinetic logging data     

N. Ardjmandpour  C. Pain  J. Singer  J. Saunders  E. Aristodemou  J. Carter 《Geophysical Prospecting》2011,59(4):721-748

An artificial neural network method is proposed as a computationally economic alternative to numerical simulation by the Biot theory for predicting borehole seismoelectric measurements given a set of formation properties. Borehole seismoelectric measurements are simulated using a finite element forward model, which solves the Biot equations together with an equation for the streaming potential. The results show that the neural network method successfully predicts the streaming potentials at each detector, even when the input pressures are contaminated with 10% Gaussian noise. A fast inversion methodology is subsequently developed in order to predict subsurface material properties such as porosity and permeability from streaming potential measurements. The predicted permeability and porosity results indicate that the method predictions are more accurate for the permeability predictions, with the inverted permeabilities being in excellent agreement with the actual permeabilities. This approach was finally verified by using data from a field experiment. The predicted permeability results seem to predict the basic trends in permeabilities from a packer test. As expected from synthetic results, the predicted porosity is less accurate. Investigations are also carried out to predict the zeta potential. The predicted zeta potentials are in agreement with values obtained through experimental self potential measurements.  相似文献   

Hydropower licensing and climate change: Insights from cooperative game theory   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Kaveh Madani 《Advances in water resources》2011,34(2):174-183

Cooperative game theory solutions can provide useful insights into how parties may use water and environmental resources and share any benefits of cooperation. Here, a method based on Nash and Nash-Harsanyi bargaining solutions is developed to explore the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) relicensing process, in which owners of non-federal hydropower projects in the United States have to negotiate their allowable operations, with other interest groups (mainly environmental). Linkage of games to expand the feasible solution range and the “strategic loss” concept are discussed and a FERC relicensing bargaining model is developed for studying the bargaining stage (third stage) of the relicensing process. Based on the suggested solution method, how the lack of incentive for cooperation results in long delay in FERC relicensing in practice is explained. Further, potential effects of climate change on the FERC relicensing are presented and how climate change may provide an incentive for cooperation among the parties to hasten the relicensing is discussed. An “adaptive FERC license” framework is proposed, based on cooperative game theory, to improve the performance and adaptability of the system to future changes with no cost to the FERC, in face of uncertainty about future hydrological and ecological conditions.  相似文献   

山西大同市区剪切波速与土层岩性及深度关系的研究     

刘艳春 《山西地震》2011,(2):39-41

在对山西大同市区3个主要地貌单元共72个钻孔的剪切波速资料分析整理的基础上,利用指数形式的剪切波速与深度经验公式,对测点较多的粉质黏土、粉土、粗砂三类土层的剪切波速Vs与土层深度H的关系进行统计回归,并将实测剪切波速值与利用上述统计结果得到的预测值进行对比检验,结果表明,分地貌单元各类土层的Vs-H经验关系是可靠的,符合当地岩土特征,可用于对该地区地层剪切波速进行推测。  相似文献   

安徽铜陵狮子山矿田铜、金共生与分离的热力学研究   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4       下载免费PDF全文

徐晓春  楼金伟  谢巧勤  肖秋香  梁建锋  褚平利 《地质学报》2011,85(5):731-743

狮子山矿田是安徽铜陵矿集区内最具代表性的大型铜金多金属矿田.矿田内铜、金矿床或矿体既各自独立产出,义相互共生或伴生,铜矿化和金矿化在时间上和空间上存在既共生又分离的现象.本文选择矿田内代表性铜矿床和金矿床开展系统的流体包裹体地球化学研究,并进行成矿流体中铜、金溶解度的热力学理论计算和1分析,探索铜、金共生与分离的机制和...  相似文献   

应用改进欧拉算法解算磁性目标空间位置参数     

卞光浪  翟国君  刘雁春  黄谟涛  欧阳永忠 《测绘学报》2011,40(3):386-392

指出目前磁性目标探测中常规欧拉方法存在的局限性,提出在欧拉窗口内视地磁场和其他目标干扰异常联合影响为线性变化,将构造指数作为动态变化参数代入欧拉方程一并求解,并利用多元线性回归方法解决了欧拉方程非线性问题.在质量控制方案中,根据构造指数和目标深度变化规律,给出离散欧拉解滤波措施;采用层次聚类分析方法对滤波后欧拉解进行分...  相似文献